USD/CHF forecast this week
The newest weekly USD/CHF outlook in one place, refreshed when each new edition is published, with links to every past week. Analysis only, not a recommendation.
Last updated: · By Forexuro Desk · Editorial policy
Published · Reviewed by the Forexuro Desk editorial team
Analysis, not advice. This outlook describes scenarios based on published news and scheduled events. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell, it does not guarantee any price, and markets can move in ways no outlook anticipates. Levels quoted from third parties are their analysis, not Forexuro trade signals. Trading carries a high risk of loss; read the risk disclosure.
This page always carries the most recent Forexuro weekly outlook for USD/CHF. Each edition sets out where the market closed the previous week, the scheduled events that could move it, an upside and a downside scenario and the price levels other analysts are watching, with every source listed. When a new edition is published, the section below is replaced and the previous week moves into the archive, so you can bookmark this address and come back each weekend.
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Free, opens TelegramLatest outlook: week of 26 October 2026
This section is copied from the full USD/CHF edition for the week of 26 October 2026, last updated . Levels and figures are as of that date and will have changed.
Summary
- USD/CHF ended the week almost unchanged at 0.8241, up 0.06%, after a range of 0.8191 to 0.8268 (Bullquill, Yahoo Finance data).
- Key events: FOMC decision; US Q3 GDP (advance) and September PCE inflation.
- Upside scenario and downside scenario below; neither is a prediction.
Where it stands
USD/CHF ended the week almost unchanged at 0.8241, up 0.06%, after a range of 0.8191 to 0.8268 (Bullquill, Yahoo Finance data). The dollar index was also nearly flat, closing at 101.75. The franc's haven role was tested by a volatile week: technology shares sold off on 22 October and Brent crude closed the week at $116.93, up 6.6% (NordFX). The SNB policy rate is 0% after its assessment of 24 September.
Events this week
| When (GMT) | Event |
|---|---|
| Sun 25 Oct | UK clocks went back one hour; US clocks change on 1 November, so London and New York are four hours apart this week |
| Mon 26 Oct | German Ifo business climate (October); China's Fifth Plenum runs from 26 to 29 October |
| Tue 27 Oct | FOMC meeting begins; US durable goods orders (September) and consumer confidence (October) |
| Wed 28 Oct, 00:30 GMT | Australia CPI (September and Q3) |
| Wed 28 Oct, 01:00 GMT | RBNZ Official Cash Rate decision |
| Wed 28 Oct, about 12:30 GMT (expected) | UK Autumn Budget and OBR Economic and Fiscal Outlook |
| Wed 28 Oct, 13:45 GMT | Bank of Canada decision and Monetary Policy Report |
| Wed 28 Oct, 18:00 GMT | FOMC decision; press conference 18:30 GMT |
| Thu 29 Oct, 12:30 GMT | US Q3 GDP (advance) and September PCE inflation |
| Thu 29 Oct, 13:15 GMT | ECB decision; press conference 13:45 GMT |
| Fri 30 Oct, Tokyo morning | Tokyo CPI (October) |
| Fri 30 Oct, Tokyo midday (no fixed time) | Bank of Japan decision and Outlook Report |
| Fri 30 Oct | German and euro area Q3 GDP; German flash CPI (October) |
| Tue 3 Nov and Thu 5 Nov | Next week: RBA decision and US midterm elections (3 November); Bank of England decision (5 November) |
UK time equals GMT from 25 October. Times are scheduled times from the issuing institutions and market calendars; check before trading. Highlighted rows matter most for USD/CHF. Background: economic events explained and central bank rates.
What matters this week
There is no SNB decision this week; the next quarterly assessment is in December. That leaves USD/CHF following the dollar: the FOMC on Wednesday, where a hold is expected, and US GDP and PCE inflation on Thursday. The ECB on Thursday matters through EUR/CHF, and oil and Middle East headlines can bring safe haven flows into the franc on risk-off days.
Scenarios
Upside case. A hawkish Fed message about December and firm US data could lift USD/CHF back to 0.8268, last week's high.
Downside case. Another round of risk aversion or a softer dollar after the Fed could push the pair below 0.8191, last week's low.
Either can happen, and the first reaction to a release often reverses. Read the USD/CHF guide for the longer term drivers.
Levels in focus
- Resistance: 0.8268, last week's high (Bullquill)
- Reference: 0.8241 close on 23 October (Bullquill)
- Support: 0.8191, last week's low (Bullquill)
Sources for this edition
- Bullquill: Dollar Index This Week, weekly forex brief, 23 October 2026 (Yahoo Finance data) (link)
- NordFX: Forex and cryptocurrency forecast for 26 to 30 October 2026 (link)
- Newsquawk: Week in Focus, 26 to 30 October 2026, published 23 October 2026 (link)
- SNB: monetary policy decisions, checked 25 October 2026 (link)
- Federal Reserve: FOMC target range history, checked 25 October 2026 (link)
How to read this forecast
A weekly outlook is a map of what could happen, not a call on what will. The scenarios describe conditions under which the price might move one way or the other, and the levels come from published third party analysis, not from Forexuro trade signals. Markets often react first in one direction and then reverse, especially around central bank decisions, and the first move after a release is not a reliable guide to the rest of the week.
If you want trade ideas with a defined entry, stop loss and targets, those are posted as signals: see the forex signals page. New members currently get free signals on joining the free Telegram channel, where the team also posts updates during the week.
What usually moves USD/CHF
USD/CHF reflects US interest rate expectations on one side and the Swiss franc's role as a safe haven on the other. The Swiss National Bank sets policy only four times a year and has a record of acting in the currency market, so franc moves can be sudden. The pair often moves opposite to EUR/USD.
Read the USD/CHF pair guide for the longer term background, and the guides to the releases that matter most: SNB rate decision, FOMC rate decision, US CPI inflation.
Past weekly editions
Every dated edition stays online with its original sources, so you can compare what was expected with what happened.
Forecasts for other markets: EUR/USD · GBP/USD · USD/JPY · AUD/USD · USD/CAD · NZD/USD · EUR/GBP · XAU/USD. All outlooks: weekly forex and gold outlooks.
Frequently asked questions
When is the USD/CHF forecast updated?
A new USD/CHF edition is normally published before each trading week, and this page is refreshed with it. The date of the edition shown is at the top of the latest outlook section.
Is this USD/CHF forecast a trading signal?
No. It is analysis for education, describing scenarios and levels from published sources. Forexuro signals, with entry, stop loss and targets, are posted separately.
Where can I find past USD/CHF forecasts?
Every past weekly edition is listed in the archive on this page and stays online at its own dated address.
What time zone are the event times in?
Event times in the weekly outlooks are given in GMT, which is UK time in winter. In British Summer Time, add one hour for UK time.
Education only, not financial advice. Trading forex, gold and CFDs carries a high risk of losing money, and leverage magnifies both gains and losses. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future results. Read our risk disclosure.